El Niño 2023-24: Historic Strength & Varied Impacts

2023-2024's El Niño predicted to be historically strong.

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National forecasters give it a 54% chance of being top 5 strongest since 1950.

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Prior forecast gave it a 35% chance of rivalling 2015-2016 or 1997-1998.

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Strong El Niño doesn't guarantee severe impacts like storms or floods.

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Increased likelihood of climate anomalies but not uniform intensity everywhere.

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Precipitation outlook: more rain for southern regions, drier in some northern states.

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The winter temperature outlook indicates above-average temperatures for over half the states.

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Impact of El Niño, La Niña, or neutral years linked to Pacific Ocean temperatures

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Sea surface temperatures can alter the jet stream, affecting regional weather.

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Local weather effects depend on specific geographic locations.

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