El Niño 2023-24: Historic Strength & Varied Impacts
2023-2024's El Niño predicted to be historically strong.
National forecasters give it a 54% chance of being top 5 strongest since 1950.
Prior forecast gave it a 35% chance of rivalling 2015-2016 or 1997-1998.
Strong El Niño doesn't guarantee severe impacts like storms or floods.
Increased likelihood of climate anomalies but not uniform intensity everywhere.
Precipitation outlook: more rain for southern regions, drier in some northern states.
The winter temperature outlook indicates above-average temperatures for over half the states.
Impact of El Niño, La Niña, or neutral years linked to Pacific Ocean temperatures
Sea surface temperatures can alter the jet stream, affecting regional weather.
Local weather effects depend on specific geographic locations.